Lebanon Israel blue line

The relationship between Hezbollan/ Lebanon and Israel could degenerate again

Lebanon has been without a president for over two years. Obama’s war on Syria created an enormous burden. More than 1.2 -1.5 million refugees flooded into a nation of 4.5 million people on top of half a million displaced Palestinians – the equivalent of around 130 million in a nation the size of America or about 500 million for China.

It is a fact to underline that the Lebanese-Israeli border has endured its quietest, most peaceful history over the past decade – in gentle contrast to the constant cross-frontier wars over the border of the previous quarter century. Some weeks before Israel and Lebanon are set  to commemorate the tenth anniversary of the Second Israeli- Lebanon War, a senior Iranian official has alleged that the Saudi Kingdom provided Israel with key intelligence during the war against Hezbollah.

Lebanon’s Hezbollah said on Friday it would increase its military presence in Syria’s Aleppo, saying the battle for the northern city was a fight to defend the entire country.This fact increase tensions with Israel.Hezbollah is fighting alongside Syrian President Bashar Assad’s army.

Shiite Hezbollah, Iranian troops and Russian air power have been backing Syrian government forces against an array of mostly Sunni insurgents in bitter fighting that has escalated in recent weeks in and around Syria’s former commercial hub.Aleppo is split between government and rebel control, and is seen as a strategic prize for Damascus, which has vowed to recapture it.

The 34 day conflict ended when a  cease-fire came into effect at 8 a.m. on August 14, 2006, following the passing of UN Security Council Resolution 1701. For IDF’sMajor General Herzl ‘Herzi’ Halevy   : Another war in Lebanon, the Israeli chief of the country’s ‘Military Intelligence Directorate’ threatened, would turn it into “a country of refugees”.  Not very original, when you come to think of it, because Lebanon already hosts around 350,000 Palestinian refugees from the land which Herzi calls Israel and a further million refugees from Syria. In total, that’s about a fifth of the entire population of Lebanon. The Lebanese might be forgiven for yawning according to the Independent.

For Daily Star Lebanon, the 2006 war killed about 1,200 Lebanese, mostly civilians, and about 160 Israelis, mostly soldiers. Israeli airstrikes heavily damaged Lebanon’s infrastructure, while Hezbollah fired several thousand rockets into Israel.

According to commentarymagazine.com & The Weekly Standard attacking Hezbollah strongholds would be even more difficult today than it was in 2006 when the IDF met heavier-than-expected resistance. “Iran has supplied its favorite terrorist organization with other top-of-the-line weaponry,” says  an analyst reporter and “For military aficionados, these would include the latest guided, tank-piercing Russian-made ‘Kornet’ missiles, SA-17 and SA-22 air defense systems, and even the ‘Yakhont’ class surface-to-ship cruise missiles. Making matters worse for IDF planners, Hezbollah boasts a standing army of more than 10,000 soldiers—a figure that could add two or three times that amount of reservists in the event of a war with Israel.”

Map source: wikipedia:Map of southern Lebanon, featuring the Blue Line, UNIFIL zone, and Litani River (2006).

 

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2 thoughts on “The relationship between Hezbollan/ Lebanon and Israel could degenerate again”

  1. Je ne sais pas si un jour cela va finir toutes ces victimes c’est un vrai désastre
    P.S je m’excuse de te répondre en francais, je ne parle pas anglais mais je fais traduire avec google

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Merci pour votre commentaire. Oui le choix de la langue n’est pas un souci pour ce blog. Même si google ne traduit pas parfaitement 🙂 j’essaie d’écrire dans les deux langues sur les mêmes sujets ou traduire là où il est possible. Parfois c’est vrai que je m’oriente à écrire/rapporter des news plus en anglais sur des sujets du moyen orient et plus en français pour le Maghreb ou pour la France. En commençant ce blog j’ai pu constater toute la désinformation qui est diffusée par bfmtv etc donc j’essaie de donner un autre point de vue.

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