Tag Archives: François Fillon

France what have you done! Vive la France, vive la République Française!

Centrist Emmanuel Macron and far-right leader Marine Le Pen are set to face each other in a May 7 runoff for the French presidency after coming first and second in Sunday’s first round of voting according to the first results.

In a race that was too close to call up to the last minute, Mr Macron, a pro-European Union ex-banker and economy minister who founded his own party only a year ago, was projected to get 24 percent by the pollster Harris and 23.7 percent by Elabe and Ipsos.

However, the French are not to blame! We saw Marine Le Pen coming or even winning this first round of elections. French people thought the right had failed because there was still high unemployment and more insecurity and social misery in France. Therefore, five years ago when they had a chance to vote for the left, they did. But President François Hollande has turned out to be exactly like former President Nicolas Sarkozy, and nothing has changed for them.

The problem of high unemployement in France has been closely followed by security and the fight against terrorism in the polls and these three are the driving factors for the French vote.

france unemployment rate

A majority of French people share the Front’s view that their country has too many immigrants and should refrain from admitting more. As a result, the French government allowed in only a modest number of refugees from Syria — in notable contrast with Germany. Discussion of the subject has become a political taboo; it has not featured at all during the campaign. Moreover, the party has also helped promote an aggressive form of secularism, one that often stigmatizes Muslims and seeks to regulate their social and cultural freedoms.

Le Pen’s father, Jean-Marie Le Pen, is co-founded the National Front—a party historically composed of immigrant-loathing white nationalists. Jean-Marie is a Holocaust truther who once dismissed Nazi gas chambers as a mere “point of detail of the history of the Second World War,” and said of a Jewish critic: “We’ll put a batch in the oven next time.” Marine, meanwhile, recently downplayed France’s role in the Holocaust, saying, “I don’t think France is responsible for the Vel d’Hiv.” She also claimed that the Nazi-collaborationist Vichy regime “was not France,” adding, “I think that generally speaking if there are people responsible, it’s those who were in power at the time. It’s not France.”


Comment toutes les conditions sont réunies pour que Marine Le Pen gagne

Selon les sondages et les diverses analyses on nous avait dit que le Brexit était impossible, tout comme l’élection de Donald Trump. Depuis plusieurs semaines avant l’élection américaine, la victoire d’Hillary Clinton semblait pliée : les sondages et les analyses faites par des “experts” nous disaient que le comportement sexiste de Donald Trump a coupé le candidat de son parti tandis que les sondages s’annonçaient sous les meilleurs auspices pour Hillary Clinton. 

Aujourd’hui, on nous assure que Marine Le Pen ne peut pas devenir la présidente de la France. Or, plusieurs facteurs rendent sa victoire possible, même si ce scénario semble malgré tout peu probable, du moins selon les sondages et les “experts”.

A quelques jours du premier tour de l’élection présidentielle, les enquêtes d’opinion se ressemblent. Emmanuel Macron et Marine Le Pen tiennent le duo de tête et distancent de plusieurs points François Fillon et Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Mais certains à droite défendent la thèse du « vote caché », selon laquelle une partie des électeurs n’avouent pas aujourd’hui voter pour le candidat LR (parti politique de Nicolas Sarkozy), abîmé par les affaires, mais finiront par le faire. En ces temps incertains où la pratique des sondages d’opinion a montré ses limites à plusieurs reprises, on s’interroge sur la possibilité d’un «vote caché» en faveur de François Fillon.

Néanmoins, à notre avis, il y a des fortes chances que  ce “vote caché” bénéficierait plutôt à un autre candidat: Marine Le Pen.

Continue reading Comment toutes les conditions sont réunies pour que Marine Le Pen gagne